PinnedBradley Stephen ShawHello, hello!A guide to all of my rants and ramblings.4 min read·Mar 21, 2024----

Bradley Stephen ShawinTowards Data ScienceHow Reliable Are Your Time Series Forecasts, Really?How cross-validation, visualisation, and statistical hypothesis testing combine to reveal the optimal forecasting horizon·13 min read·Apr 5, 2024--6--6

Bradley Stephen ShawinPython in Plain EnglishTime series residuals: gold in them thar hillsHow model crumbs provide more insight than you might think·7 min read·Mar 15, 2024--1--1

Bradley Stephen ShawinTowards Data ScienceFalse Prophet: Lightning Strikes TwiceInsights from incorporating external weather data into a time series regression inspired by Meta’s Prophet·14 min read·Mar 1, 2024--1--1

Bradley Stephen ShawinTowards Data ScienceHybrid Models for Time Series RegressionUsing multiple model forms to capture and forecast the components of complex time series·16 min read·Jan 13, 2024--1--1

Bradley Stephen ShawinTowards Data ScienceFalse Prophet: Comparing a Regression Model to Meta’s ProphetCan my Frankenstein of a time series regression model — inspired by Prophet — compete with the real deal?7 min read·Nov 25, 2023--1--1

Bradley Stephen ShawinTowards Data ScienceFalse Prophet: a Homemade Time Series Regression ModelBorrowing ideas from Meta’s Prophet to build a powerful time series regression model·16 min read·Oct 31, 2023--5--5

Bradley Stephen ShawinTowards Data ScienceFalse Prophet: Feature Engineering for a Homemade Time Series RegressionBuilding on ideas from Meta’s Prophet package to create powerful features for time series machine learning models·15 min read·Oct 13, 2023--2--2

Bradley Stephen ShawinPython in Plain EnglishOn Times Series Cross-ValidationMaximising the utility of your time series data with smart subdivision.7 min read·Jun 26, 2023----

Bradley Stephen ShawinTowards AILet’s Do: Time Series DecompositionA guide to effectively breaking a time series into its constituent parts8 min read·Jun 17, 2023--1--1